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THE GARDENS

R1 1:49 PM R2 2:09 PM R3 2:37 PM R4 2:57 PM R5 3:17 PM R6 3:37 PM R7 3:55 PM R8 4:19 PM R9 4:39 PM R10 5:21 PM R11 5:36 PM R12 5:51 PM

Race 1

1:49 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st NATE'S BEAST
2nd SNEAKY MOUSE
3rd NATE'S LAD
4th GOLDILOCKS GORT
❌ Unplaced — PROJECT NEMESIS didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
1
PROJECT NEMESIS P $1.26
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model is keener than the market. Our ratings make the favourite a better chance than its price — but remember our model doesn't beat the market on average, so treat this as a mild positive, not a green light.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. PROJECT NEMESIS FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.70 $1.26 $2.82
3. SNEAKY MOUSE 3 $3.90 $1.34 $5.91
4. NATE'S BEAST 4 $4.80 $1.55 $7.37
5. NATE'S LAD 5 $6.00 $1.85 $9.26
2. SCOTCH LASS 2 $13.00 $2.80 $14.37
8. US TWO BOYS 8 $15.00 $3.20 $14.59
6. TIGER KEY CHUM 6 $16.00 $3.30 $17.85
9. GOLDILOCKS GORT 9 $34.00 $4.80 $26.33
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.70) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 76% 94% 80
1.50–1.99 54% 84% 172
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 228
3.50–4.99 24% 58% 38*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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