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BALLARAT

R1 5:19 PM R2 5:42 PM R3 6:04 PM R4 6:27 PM R5 6:52 PM R6 7:10 PM R7 7:32 PM R8 7:50 PM R9 8:08 PM R10 8:28 PM R11 8:52 PM R12 9:12 PM R13 9:32 PM R14 9:55 PM

Race 3

6:04 PM
390m · 5 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Ballarat Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st PAW GUSTO ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ON THE RIVER 💡 Saver
3rd THREE VOTES NICK
4th LORIMER STREET
✅ Place bet — won outright — PAW GUSTO finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — ON THE RIVER ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
PAW GUSTO P $1.07
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
ON THE RIVER P $1.36
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. PAW GUSTO FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.38 $1.07 $1.89
7. ON THE RIVER 7 $4.80 $1.36 $5.61
8. LORIMER STREET 8 $7.50 $2.00 $6.04
4. THREE VOTES NICK 4 $15.00 $3.10 $12.63
5. AUNTY CHERYL 5 $34.00 $4.60 $21.13
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.38) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 65% 90% 82
1.50–1.99 52% 80% 192
2.00–2.49 35% 72% 195
2.50–3.49 31% 63% 242
3.50–4.99 16% 42% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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