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THE GARDENS

R1 5:30 PM R2 5:53 PM R3 6:18 PM R4 6:43 PM R5 6:58 PM R6 7:18 PM R7 7:40 PM R8 8:02 PM R9 8:22 PM R10 8:44 PM R11 9:09 PM R12 9:26 PM

Race 4

6:43 PM
515m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MODEST MAN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd WE CAN'T STOP
3rd FULL TILT TOM
4th BAGO SWEETIE
✅ Place bet — won outright — MODEST MAN finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
MODEST MAN P $1.09
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
FLYING MONKEY'S P $2.25
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. MODEST MAN FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.26 $1.09 $1.90
3. DANCING BELLA 3 $10.00 $2.70 $7.86
7. FLYING MONKEY'S 7 $8.00 $2.25 $8.23
6. GOOFY ETHICS 6 $9.00 $2.45 $9.08
8. WE CAN'T STOP 8 $26.00 $5.00 $17.26
2. BAGO SWEETIE 2 $34.00 $5.25 $31.78
4. FULL TILT TOM 4 $51.00 $6.00 $40.80
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.26) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 77% 94% 83
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 175
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 229
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.