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THE GARDENS

R1 5:30 PM R2 5:53 PM R3 6:18 PM R4 6:43 PM R5 6:58 PM R6 7:18 PM R7 7:40 PM R8 8:02 PM R9 8:22 PM R10 8:44 PM R11 9:09 PM R12 9:26 PM

Race 12

9:26 PM
400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st MY MACHINE
2nd MY MOON SHADOW
3rd ZIPPING GRYLLIS
4th HOW HIGH SPIKE
Competitive Lean
Competitive race. Market favourite not confirmed by our model — see value pick below.
4
ICE ON FIRE W $2.45
Saver · small win
Our model's top-rated runner — rates above its market price on form. The market favours another runner.
5
MY MACHINE W $4.60
Form view · saver 11.0% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 75% (4 starts) · Recent form: 4511
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. ICE ON FIRE TOP RATED 4 $2.45 $1.28 $3.07
2. ZIPPING GRYLLIS FAV 2 $2.25 $1.26 $3.19
5. MY MACHINE 5 $4.60 $1.85 $5.02
1. MY MOON SHADOW 1 $11.00 $3.30 $10.44
7. GREAT FLASH 7 $31.00 $5.50 $26.94
8. HOW HIGH SPIKE 8 $71.00 $10.00 $35.01
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 83
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 175
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 229
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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