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THE GARDENS

R1 5:30 PM R2 5:53 PM R3 6:18 PM R4 6:43 PM R5 6:58 PM R6 7:18 PM R7 7:40 PM R8 8:02 PM R9 8:22 PM R10 8:44 PM R11 9:09 PM R12 9:26 PM

Race 1

5:30 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st HOT TO RULE
2nd US TWO BOYS
3rd PROJECT NEMESIS
4th REBEL ENERGY
❌ Unplaced — SCOTCH LASS didn't feature
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
3
SCOTCH LASS P $1.22
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. HOT TO RULE TOP RATED 4 $3.40 $1.28 $3.89
6. PROJECT NEMESIS 6 $3.60 $1.30 $4.11
3. SCOTCH LASS FAV 3 $2.50 $1.22 $4.88
5. WHY NOT ME 5 $6.50 $1.75 $7.17
7. ZIPPING AMARILLO 7 $26.00 $3.90 $22.57
2. US TWO BOYS 2 $31.00 $4.00 $23.72
8. REBEL ENERGY 8 $34.00 $4.40 $24.89
1. KEY UP 1 $41.00 $4.60 $34.84
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.50) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 83
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 175
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 229
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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