‹ All races

LAUNCESTON

R1 10:50 AM R2 11:05 AM R3 11:25 AM R4 11:45 AM R5 12:05 PM R6 12:22 PM R7 12:45 PM R8 1:05 PM R9 1:20 PM R10 1:45 PM R11 2:10 PM

Race 4

11:45 AM
278m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LITTLE DAN 💡 Saver
2nd HAT TRICK HANNAH
3rd BREAKN' A SWEAT
4th MAGIC BOOM
❌ Unplaced — RICO BALBOA didn't feature
✅ Saver won — LITTLE DAN finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
RICO BALBOA P $1.09
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
6
LITTLE DAN P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. RICO BALBOA FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.60 $1.09 $2.58
6. LITTLE DAN 6 $3.90 $1.28 $4.11
8. BREAKN' A SWEAT 8 $7.00 $1.70 $10.18
2. HAT TRICK HANNAH 2 $14.00 $2.40 $12.52
4. MERCEDES DANGER 4 $15.00 $2.50 $12.88
3. BLACKBRUSH TOMMY 3 $21.00 $3.20 $18.54
7. MAGIC BOOM 7 $26.00 $3.60 $25.66
5. BURNT DESIRES 5 $61.00 $5.00 $48.10
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.