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LAUNCESTON

R1 10:50 AM R2 11:05 AM R3 11:25 AM R4 11:45 AM R5 12:05 PM R6 12:22 PM R7 12:45 PM R8 1:05 PM R9 1:20 PM R10 1:45 PM R11 2:10 PM

Race 10

1:45 PM
278m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st DON'T SLIP MICK 💡 Saver
2nd SAVE TONIGHT
3rd YES EILEEN
4th HELLYER DOUGIE
Competitive Lean
Competitive race. Market favourite not confirmed by our model — see value pick below.
5
DON'T SLIP MICK W $2.40
Saver · small win
Our model's top-rated runner — rates above its market price on form. The market favours another runner.
2
YES EILEEN W $6.00
Form view · saver 10.6% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 60% (5 starts) · Recent form: 2421
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
5. DON'T SLIP MICK TOP RATED 5 $2.40 $1.18 $3.24
1. SAVE TONIGHT FAV 1 $2.25 $1.16 $4.12
2. YES EILEEN 2 $6.00 $1.40 $5.45
6. SIN RAP BEAST 6 $16.00 $2.80 $13.75
7. BABA'S SWIFT 7 $16.00 $2.80 $13.78
3. HELLYER DOUGIE 3 $23.00 $3.30 $21.92
8. CHANGING LANES 8 $41.00 $4.40 $26.61
4. PARIS DANGER 4 $41.00 $4.20 $27.50
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 this race 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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