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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 2:50 PM R2 3:05 PM R3 3:28 PM R4 3:51 PM R5 4:15 PM R6 4:35 PM R7 4:51 PM R8 5:15 PM R9 5:32 PM R10 5:56 PM

Race 5

4:15 PM
457m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st HENRY BLAKE 💡 Saver
2nd SMOKIN' JILL
3rd HARA'S CRUMPET
4th GORDON KEEPING
❌ Unplaced — KOBY KEEPING didn't feature
✅ Saver won — HENRY BLAKE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
KOBY KEEPING P $1.16
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
HENRY BLAKE P $1.85
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. KOBY KEEPING FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.50 $1.16 $2.63
2. HENRY BLAKE 2 $4.60 $1.85 $5.80
3. JENNY DUTTON 3 $7.50 $2.50 $6.79
6. GORDON KEEPING 6 $9.00 $3.00 $7.59
7. HARA'S CRUMPET 7 $21.00 $4.80 $13.87
8. WATCH MY SIX 8 $23.00 $5.25 $18.07
5. SMOKIN' JILL 5 $31.00 $5.50 $24.06
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 161
1.50–1.99 this race 49% 80% 376
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 319
2.50–3.49 33% 66% 375
3.50–4.99 32% 67% 57*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.