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LAUNCESTON

R1 6:34 PM R2 7:00 PM R3 7:16 PM R4 7:40 PM R5 7:56 PM R6 8:17 PM R7 8:38 PM R8 8:53 PM R9 9:21 PM R10 9:44 PM

Race 7

8:38 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st FUEL ON FOUR ⭐ Best Bet
2nd PAPPY VAN WINKLE 💡 Saver
3rd SIMPLY DANGER
4th BEAST ROYALE
✅ Place bet — won outright — FUEL ON FOUR finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — PAPPY VAN WINKLE ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
FUEL ON FOUR P $1.14
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
7
PAPPY VAN WINKLE P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. FUEL ON FOUR FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.85 $1.14 $2.95
7. PAPPY VAN WINKLE 7 $3.70 $1.30 $4.34
6. PROMISES MADE 6 $7.00 $1.85 $7.96
5. ROJO MOLLY 5 $10.00 $2.15 $11.86
2. SIMPLY DANGER 2 $10.00 $2.15 $12.42
4. BEAST ROYALE 4 $21.00 $3.40 $16.96
8. IS IT ME 8 $23.00 $3.60 $17.47
1. GLENROY 1 $51.00 $5.00 $41.21
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 this race 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.