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LAUNCESTON

R1 6:34 PM R2 7:00 PM R3 7:16 PM R4 7:40 PM R5 7:56 PM R6 8:17 PM R7 8:38 PM R8 8:53 PM R9 9:21 PM R10 9:44 PM

Race 1

6:34 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st AARIELLA'S GIRL 💡 Saver
2nd LEYTON
3rd SNOWFALL
4th HEY JETT
❌ Unplaced — CARISSA'S BABY didn't feature
✅ Saver won — AARIELLA'S GIRL finished 1st
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
6
CARISSA'S BABY W $2.25·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
7
AARIELLA'S GIRL P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
6. CARISSA'S BABY FAV TOP RATED 6 $2.25 $1.24 $3.00
7. AARIELLA'S GIRL 7 $3.50 $1.30 $5.05
2. LEYTON 2 $6.00 $1.70 $6.91
8. SNOWFALL 8 $6.50 $1.85 $8.76
5. BLENDON 5 $12.00 $2.50 $14.91
1. HIGHGATE ANNIE 1 $19.00 $3.30 $16.29
3. HEY JETT 3 $19.00 $3.40 $19.17
4. HIGHGATE NELLY 4 $41.00 $5.00 $34.63
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.25) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 this race 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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