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THE GARDENS

R1 5:22 PM R2 5:37 PM R3 5:57 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:37 PM R6 7:03 PM R7 7:24 PM R8 7:45 PM R9 8:05 PM R10 8:32 PM R11 8:53 PM R12 9:15 PM

Race 4

6:15 PM
515m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st MODEST MAN 💡 Saver
2nd FEDERAL ODDS ⭐ Best Bet
3rd FASCINATE JOSIE
4th BLAZING BYE
✅ Place bet landed — FEDERAL ODDS ran a place
✅ Saver won — MODEST MAN finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
FEDERAL ODDS P $1.20
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
MODEST MAN P $1.50
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
6
COUSIN SAL W $7.00
Form view · saver 3.3% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 42.9% (7 starts) · Recent form: 3217
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. FEDERAL ODDS FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.65 $1.20 $2.50
4. MODEST MAN 4 $3.60 $1.50 $4.52
6. COUSIN SAL 6 $7.00 $2.45 $6.58
3. DRINK TWISTIES 3 $10.00 $3.20 $8.77
8. BLAZING BYE 8 $20.00 $4.80 $17.84
7. FASCINATE JOSIE 7 $34.00 $5.75 $26.84
2. ZIPPING SEVERUS 2 $61.00 $10.00 $49.21
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.65) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 83
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 85% 175
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 229
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.