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THE GARDENS

R1 5:22 PM R2 5:37 PM R3 5:57 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:37 PM R6 7:03 PM R7 7:24 PM R8 7:45 PM R9 8:05 PM R10 8:32 PM R11 8:53 PM R12 9:15 PM

Race 11

8:53 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st MATT JET POWER
2nd MR. SPECKLE
3rd BROADWAY KING
4th DON'T DO IT
❌ Unplaced — ELLA KNOWS didn't feature
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
3
ELLA KNOWS W $2.40·P $1.24
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
SUNBURNT KEEPER P $1.30
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. ELLA KNOWS FAV TOP RATED 3 $2.40 $1.24 $3.94
5. SUNBURNT KEEPER 5 $3.60 $1.30 $4.60
7. BROADWAY KING 7 $4.60 $1.38 $5.00
2. MR. SPECKLE 2 $8.50 $2.10 $8.82
1. DON'T DO IT 1 $10.00 $2.25 $10.72
4. GARY INDIANA 4 $17.00 $3.10 $14.96
6. MATT JET POWER 6 $41.00 $4.80 $24.80
9. MY SOMETHING 9 $101.00 $7.00 $66.99
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.40) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 83
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 175
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 229
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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