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THE GARDENS

R1 5:22 PM R2 5:37 PM R3 5:57 PM R4 6:15 PM R5 6:37 PM R6 7:03 PM R7 7:24 PM R8 7:45 PM R9 8:05 PM R10 8:32 PM R11 8:53 PM R12 9:15 PM

Race 1

5:22 PM
400m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st LAST KEY 📍 Place Pick
2nd SCOTCH LASS
3rd SHE'S A TURBO
4th ZIPPING AMARILLO
✅ Place bet — won outright — LAST KEY finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
LAST KEY P $1.30
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. MISS FORTE TOP RATED 1 $4.80 $1.55 $4.40
8. LAST KEY FAV 8 $2.90 $1.30 $4.41
2. SHE'S A TURBO 2 $3.60 $1.34 $6.47
4. KEYS A KRACKEN 4 $6.50 $1.95 $7.58
3. TIGER KEY CHUM 3 $5.50 $1.70 $7.75
6. SCOTCH LASS 6 $17.00 $3.50 $14.74
7. ZIPPING AMARILLO 7 $61.00 $6.00 $31.01
5. BLACKPOOL GIGI 5 $41.00 $5.50 $32.72
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 77% 94% 83
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 175
2.00–2.49 40% 68% 160
2.50–3.49 this race 28% 63% 229
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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