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Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 5:14 PM R2 5:30 PM R3 5:45 PM R4 6:08 PM R5 6:30 PM R6 6:52 PM R7 7:07 PM R8 7:28 PM R9 7:48 PM R10 8:08 PM R11 8:25 PM

Race 4

6:08 PM
550m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st TWO CENT TILLY
2nd APACHE TIGER 📍 Place Pick
3rd ALWAYS THE SUN
4th BLUE MILK
✅ Place bet landed — APACHE TIGER ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
8
APACHE TIGER P $1.45
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. APACHE TIGER FAV TOP RATED 8 $2.90 $1.45 $3.52
5. ALWAYS THE SUN 5 $3.40 $1.65 $4.23
1. BLUE MILK 1 $4.40 $2.05 $5.68
7. ROCKABYE BABY 7 $4.60 $2.10 $6.09
2. TWO CENT TILLY 2 $12.00 $3.90 $11.27
4. SCARBOROUGH PEST 4 $23.00 $5.50 $19.59
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.90) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 161
1.50–1.99 49% 80% 376
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 319
2.50–3.49 this race 33% 66% 375
3.50–4.99 32% 67% 57*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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