‹ All races

THE GARDENS

R1 1:17 PM R2 1:39 PM R3 2:02 PM R4 2:27 PM R5 2:52 PM R6 3:07 PM R7 3:32 PM R8 3:47 PM R9 4:12 PM R10 4:27 PM R11 4:50 PM R12 5:12 PM

Race 4

2:27 PM
400m · 7 runners
🏁 Result
1st JASPER DARKE
2nd MOLLY ON FIRE
3rd CHOPPER EXPRESS 📍 Place Pick
4th ARMATREE VIOLET
✅ Place bet landed — CHOPPER EXPRESS ran a place
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
7
CHOPPER EXPRESS P $1.38
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
7. CHOPPER EXPRESS FAV TOP RATED 7 $2.65 $1.38 $3.54
3. JASPER DARKE 3 $2.70 $1.38 $3.73
1. MOLLY ON FIRE 1 $3.10 $1.50 $4.06
8. MY MOON SHADOW 8 $18.00 $5.25 $14.96
6. ARMATREE VIOLET 6 $21.00 $5.50 $15.01
4. GREAT FLASH 4 $26.00 $6.00 $24.32
2. HOW HIGH SPIKE 2 $71.00 $15.00 $35.18
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.65) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 76% 94% 85
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 178
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 163
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 64% 233
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.