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LAUNCESTON

R1 11:08 AM R2 11:26 AM R3 11:48 AM R4 12:06 PM R5 12:27 PM R6 12:42 PM R7 1:06 PM R8 1:34 PM R9 1:50 PM R10 2:12 PM

Race 7

1:06 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st DON'T TELL TOMMY ⭐ Best Bet
2nd NITRO PLUME 💡 Saver
3rd IVORY JAPAN
4th JORJI'S JAZZ
✅ Place bet — won outright — DON'T TELL TOMMY finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — NITRO PLUME ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
2
DON'T TELL TOMMY P $1.07
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
8
NITRO PLUME P $1.34
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. DON'T TELL TOMMY FAV TOP RATED 2 $1.45 $1.07 $2.20
3. CANYA DO IT 3 $5.50 $1.36 $5.97
8. NITRO PLUME 8 $5.00 $1.34 $6.04
1. JORJI'S JAZZ 1 $10.00 $1.90 $11.67
7. IVORY JAPAN 7 $23.00 $3.30 $22.71
6. VISTA EXAM 6 $41.00 $4.40 $34.09
5. AVANT DANGER 5 $34.00 $4.00 $35.59
4. CAYMAN DANGER 4 $51.00 $4.80 $39.75
Favourite record at LAUNCESTON ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.45) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 75% 96% 53*
1.50–1.99 56% 83% 90
2.00–2.49 32% 68% 68
2.50–3.49 31% 60% 81

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.