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THE GARDENS

R1 6:16 PM R2 6:33 PM R3 6:53 PM R4 7:13 PM R5 7:32 PM R6 7:51 PM R7 8:08 PM R8 8:26 PM R9 8:48 PM R10 9:08 PM R11 9:25 PM R12 9:41 PM

Race 11

9:25 PM

400m · 8 runners

🏁 Result

1st DON'T DO IT

2nd KARA'S VOGUE 💡 Saver

3rd LAZULINE

4th KAROONA KID

❌ Unplaced — CODE OF SILENCE didn't feature

✅ Saver placed — KARA'S VOGUE ran a place

Dominant favourite Lean

Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.

CODE OF SILENCE P $1.12

place only ⭐ Best Bet

Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.

KARA'S VOGUE P $1.30

Saver · place

Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.

Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.

Full field & ratings ›

Runner	Box	Win	Place	Our rate
2. CODE OF SILENCE FAV TOP RATED	2	$1.85	$1.12	$2.77
4. DON'T DO IT	4	$4.60	$1.34	$6.17
7. KARA'S VOGUE	7	$4.20	$1.30	$6.87
1. SUGAR BUG	1	$8.50	$1.95	$8.38
6. LAZULINE	6	$19.00	$3.20	$12.21
5. KAROONA KID	5	$23.00	$3.50	$18.26
8. JOCKEY LOVER	8	$41.00	$4.60	$21.47
3. MY OCTAVIUS	3	$101.00	$6.00	$34.47

Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.85) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav price	Win	Place	Races
<1.50	76%	94%	85
1.50–1.99 this race	55%	85%	178
2.00–2.49	40%	69%	163
2.50–3.49	29%	64%	233
3.50–4.99	26%	59%	39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice. *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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