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THE GARDENS

R1 1:35 PM R2 2:02 PM R3 2:27 PM R4 2:47 PM R5 3:07 PM R6 3:24 PM R7 3:47 PM R8 4:04 PM R9 4:27 PM R10 4:44 PM R11 5:09 PM R12 5:27 PM

Race 4

2:47 PM
515m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st JIMMY FIGGIS 📍 Place Pick
2nd MODEST MAN
3rd SMOOTH WHITE
4th PIRATE RIOT
✅ Place bet — won outright — JIMMY FIGGIS finished 1st
Weak favourite Thin
Weak favourite. Don't back it to win — place or pass.
5
JIMMY FIGGIS P $1.40
place only
Weak favourite — don't back it to win. Place bet on the market's top pick is the disciplined play.
Model and market disagree. Our top-rated runner isn't the market favourite — we rate a different runner ahead of it. A genuine difference of opinion, so tread carefully.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. MODEST MAN TOP RATED 1 $2.90 $1.45 $3.89
5. JIMMY FIGGIS FAV 5 $2.80 $1.40 $4.39
2. SMOOTH WHITE 2 $5.50 $2.30 $6.18
8. IRINKA LINDSAY 8 $7.50 $3.10 $7.67
7. PIRATE RIOT 7 $12.00 $4.20 $8.49
4. MESSY AND UNTIDY 4 $8.00 $3.10 $9.49
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.80) sits in the 2.50–3.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 76% 94% 85
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 178
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 163
2.50–3.49 this race 29% 64% 233
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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