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MOUNT GAMBIER

R1 11:12 AM R2 11:32 AM R3 11:52 AM R4 12:16 PM R5 12:34 PM R6 12:54 PM R7 1:11 PM R8 1:34 PM R9 1:57 PM R10 2:14 PM R11 2:32 PM R12 2:49 PM

Race 2

11:32 AM
400m · 5 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Tara Raceway ›
🏁 Result
1st BLUE NITROGEN ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ROUGH GIRL NOSEY
3rd MAGIC POPPY 💡 Saver
4th CLASSY WILLOW
✅ Place bet — won outright — BLUE NITROGEN finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — MAGIC POPPY ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
8
BLUE NITROGEN P $1.16
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
4
MAGIC POPPY P $1.50
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
8. BLUE NITROGEN FAV TOP RATED 8 $1.60 $1.16 $2.46
4. MAGIC POPPY 4 $4.20 $1.50 $5.17
6. ROUGH GIRL NOSEY 6 $4.80 $1.70 $5.40
1. CLASSY WILLOW 1 $9.00 $2.60 $6.31
2. MISTY AUTUMN 2 $31.00 $5.00 $17.53
Favourite record at MOUNT GAMBIER ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 79% 93% 96
1.50–1.99 this race 48% 84% 176
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 170
2.50–3.49 39% 80% 98

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.