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BALLARAT

R1 5:27 PM R2 5:47 PM R3 6:04 PM R4 6:24 PM R5 6:47 PM R6 7:07 PM R7 7:27 PM R8 7:47 PM R9 8:08 PM R10 8:27 PM R11 8:45 PM R12 9:09 PM R13 9:27 PM R14 9:52 PM

Race 9

8:08 PM
390m · 8 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Ballarat Greyhound Racing Club ›
🏁 Result
1st PHOENIX RED
2nd BIG BOY PANTS 💡 Saver
3rd COMPLEX THINKING
4th PAW ELODEE
❌ Unplaced — COME ON LARRY didn't feature
✅ Saver placed — BIG BOY PANTS ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
COME ON LARRY P $1.12
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
8
BIG BOY PANTS P $1.90
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. COME ON LARRY FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.75 $1.12 $2.95
7. BURMA STAR 7 $8.00 $2.00 $8.09
8. BIG BOY PANTS 8 $7.00 $1.90 $9.04
1. KEN SPECIAL 1 $10.00 $2.20 $9.38
2. COMPLEX THINKING 2 $13.00 $2.50 $9.95
5. PAW ELODEE 5 $10.00 $2.20 $9.97
3. PHOENIX RED 3 $13.00 $2.50 $14.41
6. REV KEN 6 $23.00 $3.40 $19.82
Favourite record at BALLARAT ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.75) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 65% 90% 82
1.50–1.99 this race 52% 80% 192
2.00–2.49 35% 72% 195
2.50–3.49 31% 63% 242
3.50–4.99 16% 42% 45*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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