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RICHMOND

R1 4:57 PM R2 5:17 PM R3 5:40 PM R4 5:59 PM R5 6:17 PM R6 6:37 PM R7 7:00 PM R8 7:20 PM R9 7:41 PM R10 8:00 PM

Race 3

5:40 PM
401m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st CUMBRIA LAURA
2nd SAM'S TEARS
3rd CAWDOR ⭐ Best Bet
4th BIG SHOT
✅ Place bet landed — CAWDOR ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
CAWDOR P $1.26
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
5
ALACRITY MISS P $1.60
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. CAWDOR FAV TOP RATED 1 $2.00 $1.26 $3.07
5. ALACRITY MISS 5 $3.50 $1.60 $3.64
8. CUMBRIA LAURA 8 $3.90 $1.75 $5.32
7. SAM'S TEARS 7 $10.00 $3.40 $10.47
4. BIG SHOT 4 $17.00 $4.40 $17.59
3. SAINT BARRY 3 $51.00 $8.00 $26.45
6. JUST BRAXTON 6 $81.00 $16.00 $46.57
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.00) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 85% 95
1.50–1.99 51% 79% 229
2.00–2.49 this race 39% 75% 212
2.50–3.49 38% 71% 227
3.50–4.99 31% 55% 42*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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