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THE GARDENS

R1 3:20 PM R2 3:37 PM R3 4:00 PM R4 4:17 PM R5 4:40 PM R6 4:57 PM R7 5:20 PM R8 5:35 PM R9 5:59 PM R10 6:23 PM R11 6:46 PM R12 7:04 PM

Race 5

4:40 PM
515m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st JIMMY FIGGIS ⭐ Best Bet
2nd JUST US BOYS 💡 Saver
3rd BURGLAR TOM
4th FULL TILT TOM
✅ Place bet — won outright — JIMMY FIGGIS finished 1st
✅ Saver placed — JUST US BOYS ran a place
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
1
JIMMY FIGGIS P $1.03
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
3
JUST US BOYS P $1.80
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
1. JIMMY FIGGIS FAV TOP RATED 1 $1.32 $1.03 $2.22
8. BURGLAR TOM 8 $9.50 $1.90 $9.51
6. SOFT WHISPER 6 $14.00 $2.25 $10.13
3. JUST US BOYS 3 $9.00 $1.80 $10.55
7. REAL BONNIE 7 $17.00 $2.50 $11.02
5. PANDA UNLEASHED 5 $19.00 $2.80 $13.79
2. FULL TILT TOM 2 $17.00 $2.50 $17.51
4. RHONDA FULL DAY 4 $41.00 $4.00 $31.92
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.32) sits in the <1.50 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 this race 72% 93% 107
1.50–1.99 56% 86% 241
2.00–2.49 38% 68% 224
2.50–3.49 28% 63% 300
3.50–4.99 30% 57% 54*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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