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THE GARDENS

R1 3:20 PM R2 3:37 PM R3 4:00 PM R4 4:17 PM R5 4:40 PM R6 4:57 PM R7 5:20 PM R8 5:35 PM R9 5:59 PM R10 6:23 PM R11 6:46 PM R12 7:04 PM

Race 4

4:17 PM
272m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st RED HOT RANGOON
2nd KISS AND RUN
3rd HEY MAC 📍 Place Pick
4th TOBY BELL
✅ Place bet landed — HEY MAC ran a place
Competitive Lean
Market and model agree on this runner — win or place.
2
HEY MAC W $2.15·P $1.16
win or place
Market and model both rate this runner top — a genuine top pick. Win or cover with place.
5
AT THE GATE P $1.28
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver.
Model agrees with the market. Our ratings and the price line up on the favourite — a consistent read, no hidden disagreement.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
2. HEY MAC FAV TOP RATED 2 $2.15 $1.16 $2.82
5. AT THE GATE 5 $3.60 $1.28 $4.96
6. KARLI MULWEE 6 $3.70 $1.28 $5.58
3. KISS AND RUN 3 $7.00 $1.70 $6.95
4. TOBY BELL 4 $34.00 $4.00 $23.77
1. MISS LORI 1 $26.00 $3.70 $28.08
8. RED HOT RANGOON 8 $41.00 $4.60 $35.59
7. NITTY GRITTY 7 $101.00 $6.50 $65.32
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($2.15) sits in the 2.00–2.49 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 76% 94% 85
1.50–1.99 55% 85% 178
2.00–2.49 this race 40% 69% 163
2.50–3.49 29% 64% 233
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
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