‹ All races

Q1 LAKESIDE

R1 2:15 PM R2 2:37 PM R3 2:55 PM R4 3:17 PM R5 3:34 PM R6 3:57 PM R7 4:14 PM R8 4:37 PM R9 4:54 PM R10 5:12 PM R11 5:42 PM R12 6:06 PM

Race 11

5:42 PM
390m · 8 runners
🏁 Result
1st SHIMA POLLY
2nd TOO HARD
3rd SILVER MOON
4th BLUE LAKODA 💡 Saver
❌ Unplaced — HARA'S PUMPKIN didn't feature
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
3
HARA'S PUMPKIN P $1.08
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
5
BLUE LAKODA P $1.26
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
3. HARA'S PUMPKIN FAV TOP RATED 3 $1.60 $1.08 $2.43
5. BLUE LAKODA 5 $3.70 $1.26 $4.34
4. SILVER MOON 4 $8.00 $1.65 $8.57
7. TOO HARD 7 $8.50 $1.80 $8.80
8. SHIMA POLLY 8 $16.00 $2.50 $17.40
1. SPRING TOULON 1 $61.00 $4.80 $36.70
6. SHE'S A BULLET 6 $41.00 $4.20 $40.43
2. NOSEY MARIE 2 $91.00 $5.50 $54.33
Favourite record at Q1 LAKESIDE ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 89% 161
1.50–1.99 this race 49% 80% 376
2.00–2.49 39% 73% 319
2.50–3.49 33% 66% 375
3.50–4.99 32% 67% 57*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.