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RICHMOND

R1 6:07 PM R2 6:26 PM R3 6:49 PM R4 7:07 PM R5 7:30 PM R6 7:46 PM R7 8:07 PM R8 8:25 PM R9 8:48 PM R10 9:07 PM R11 9:34 PM

Race 9

8:48 PM
320m · 7 runners
📍 Our record & guide for Richmond Race Club ›
🏁 Result
1st NEW SURPRISE 💡 Saver
2nd TALENT TIME
3rd NOT DEFINITE
4th JUST A MONARCH ⭐ Best Bet
❌ Unplaced — JUST A MONARCH didn't feature
✅ Saver won — NEW SURPRISE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
7
JUST A MONARCH P $1.20
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
2
NEW SURPRISE P $1.90
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
6
TALENT TIME W $7.50
Form view · saver 14.6% above market on form
Form model rates this runner above its market price. Track+distance: 40% (5 starts) · Recent form: 1213
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
7. JUST A MONARCH FAV TOP RATED 7 $1.60 $1.20 $2.53
6. TALENT TIME 6 $7.50 $2.50 $6.40
2. NEW SURPRISE 2 $4.80 $1.90 $6.65
8. ANGRY MAC 8 $9.00 $3.00 $8.77
4. NOT DEFINITE 4 $14.00 $3.80 $11.38
1. MONTANA BANNER 1 $18.00 $4.20 $14.79
5. SHACOBY LAD 5 $61.00 $9.00 $34.93
Favourite record at RICHMOND ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.60) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 68% 86% 136
1.50–1.99 this race 50% 79% 327
2.00–2.49 38% 75% 298
2.50–3.49 33% 67% 330
3.50–4.99 30% 58% 67

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.