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THE GARDENS

R1 1:49 PM R2 2:09 PM R3 2:37 PM R4 2:57 PM R5 3:17 PM R6 3:37 PM R7 3:52 PM R8 4:19 PM R9 4:37 PM R10 4:57 PM R11 5:20 PM R12 5:43 PM

Race 3

2:37 PM
400m · 6 runners
🏁 Result
1st JASPER DARKE ⭐ Best Bet
2nd ASH TRAY CHANGE
3rd MY MOON SHADOW
4th BARRAMUNDI LOU 💡 Saver
✅ Place bet — won outright — JASPER DARKE finished 1st
Dominant favourite Lean
Dominant favourite by price — but our model rates it worse than its price. We won't call it a win bet; see the place and value plays below.
4
JASPER DARKE P $1.12
place only ⭐ Best Bet
Dominant favourite, but our model rates it worse than its short price. Don't back it to win — take the place, where it's still strong.
1
BARRAMUNDI LOU P $1.32
Saver · place
Second elect as a saver if the favourite is rolled.
Model is cooler than the market. Our ratings rate the favourite worse than its price suggests — a quiet warning that the short price may be generous to it.
Full field & ratings ›
RunnerBoxWinPlaceOur rate
4. JASPER DARKE FAV TOP RATED 4 $1.50 $1.12 $2.26
1. BARRAMUNDI LOU 1 $3.50 $1.32 $4.04
5. ASH TRAY CHANGE 5 $9.50 $2.80 $8.37
7. MY MOON SHADOW 7 $13.00 $3.40 $10.51
8. FASCINATE GLORY 8 $26.00 $5.00 $20.77
2. SMART PANAMA 2 $31.00 $5.00 $21.48
Favourite record at THE GARDENS ›

How the market favourite actually performs at this track, by its starting price. Win/place from settled results — the shorter the price, the more often it wins. This race's favourite ($1.50) sits in the 1.50–1.99 band, highlighted below.

Fav priceWinPlaceRaces
<1.50 76% 94% 85
1.50–1.99 this race 55% 85% 178
2.00–2.49 40% 69% 163
2.50–3.49 29% 64% 233
3.50–4.99 26% 59% 39*

Descriptive track record from settled results — independent of any tips model, not betting advice.  *small sample, read with care.

"Our rate" is our model\'s fair price. Calls combine race shape with our ratings and are tagged by confidence — they are not guarantees. We publish how these calls really perform.
Bet responsibly · 18+ · GambleAware.