‹ Home
The Honest Record
How our Greyhound calls actually performed · 507 settled races
Most tipping sites show you their winners and quietly forget the rest. We do the opposite:
here's every call, scored against the result — including where backing blindly loses money.
We'd rather you trust us than be impressed by us.
By race shape
Our call changes with the race. This shows whether each type of call held up —
and the stance we give for it.
Dominant favourite fair
we say back to win
188 races
Win 54.8%
Place 83.5%
Flat ROI -13.1%
Competitive fair
we say win or place
151 races
Win 47.7%
Place 81.5%
Flat ROI +4.8%
Weak favourite thin
we say place or pass
89 races
Win 25.8%
Place 70.8%
Flat ROI -32.0%
Open race thin
we say place, value, or pass
79 races
Win 25.3%
Place 58.2%
Flat ROI -13.5%
Read it like this: on Dominant favourite races we say back to win, and those win most
often. On Weak favourite and Open races we say don't back the favourite to
win — so the low win rate there is the call working, not failing: we steered you to place or pass.
Model vs market accuracy. Across 1,420 rated runners, our model's
probability error (Brier 0.0989) is
a fraction behind the market's (0.0978). We don't beat the market on raw
prediction — almost nobody does — which is exactly why our calls lean on race structure and
discipline rather than claiming to out-pick the price.
Our pledge. We will never hide a losing run, cherry-pick a hot week, or claim an edge the
numbers don't show. This page updates automatically from real results — good and bad. If a call
type stops working, you'll see it here first.
Sample tags: noise under 40 ·
thin 40+ ·
fair 120+ ·
solid 300+ races.